Monday 25 July 2022

​Royal Tunbridge Wells’ Millennials to Inherit £4.2bn From Their Baby Boomer Parents


The total value of homes owned by Baby Boomers in Tunbridge Wells alone is £4,245,254,994 - and two-thirds of the Tunbridge Wells Millennials are set to inherit all that in the next few decades!

Could this be the answer to the housing crisis?

Could Tunbridge Wells Millennials live it up for the next few decades, safe in the knowledge they will get a huge lump sum to pay off their debts and buy a house with what is left?

Before I look at that, which set of people in Tunbridge Wells exactly are the Tunbridge Wells Millennials or Tunbridge Wells Baby Boomers?

Come to that, who are Generation Z, the Silent Generation or Generation X?

All these are phrases used for the different groups of people in their various life stages of our society. 

So, splitting the groups down:

👉🏻Silent Generation: Born 1945 and before (77 years old and above)

👉🏻Baby Boomers: Born 1946 to 1964 (58 years old to 76 years old)

👉🏻Generation X: Born 1965 to 1980 (42 years old to 55 years old)

👉🏻Millennials: Born 1981 to 1995 (27 years old to 41 years old) 

👉🏻Generation Z: Born after 1996 (everyone under 26 years old)

Using data from the Census, my research shows there are …

7,446 households in Tunbridge Wells owned by Tunbridge Wells Baby Boomers and they are worth a combined value of £4,245,254,994.

The generation that will inherit those Tunbridge Wells properties will be the millennials. 

There are 7,477 millennials in Tunbridge Wells.

After looking at the local demographics, homeownership statistics and current life expectancy, around two-thirds of those Tunbridge Wells Millennials have parents who own those 7,446 Tunbridge Wells properties, meaning each is in line for an inheritance of £851,237.15.

Now that figure is just a simple average and a lot more than the value of many properties in Tunbridge Wells. A lot of that is to do the low number of millennials in Tunbridge Wells (as a proportion of the overall population) and the high number of baby boomers compared to the national average. The inheritance figure is just to show the extent of the money tied up in Tunbridge Wells property and what that could do for the younger generation. 

Yet what about Tunbridge Wells’ Silent Generation?

There are 6,779 homes in Tunbridge Wells owned by the ‘Silent Generation’, and they are worth £3,864,972,281.

The issue for those who will inherit their parents’ homes is that there are far more Generation X people in Tunbridge Wells than millennials.

Two-thirds of the 12,597 Tunbridge Wells Generation X will inherit £430,684.61 - still nothing to sniff at yet not as much as the millennials!

So, whilst the Tunbridge Wells Millennials are less likely to own their own home compared to Generation X and so have done not as well in amassing their assets and savings, they are more likely to benefit from an inheritance boom in the years to come. 

This is likely to be very comforting information for those Tunbridge Wells Millennials, including some from humbler upbringings who historically would have been unlikely to receive an inheritance. 

Nevertheless, inheritance is not the silver bullet that will get the millennials onto the Tunbridge Wells housing ladder.

Nor will it deal with the increasing wealth inequalities in British society, as the inheritance they are likely to receive won’t be accessible when they are trying to buy their first Tunbridge Wells home.

So, before all you Tunbridge Wells Millennials start running up your credit card bills, safe in the knowledge they will be paid for when your parents pass away in 20/30 years, over half of the females and around a third of men are going to have to pay for their nursing home fees. 

Remarkably, I recently read 25% of people who must pay for their nursing home fees run out of money, and therefore have to rely on funding from the local authority.

Therefore, if you are a Tunbridge Wells Millennial, no inheritance will be left for you. It goes without saying, most Tunbridge Wells parents want to give some inheritance to their children.  

Yet if waiting until you pass away to help your children or even grandchildren with your legacy could be seen as too late, so what are the options?

One solution to help and fix the housing crisis in Tunbridge Wells (and the UK as a whole) is if parents and grandparents, where they can, help financially with the deposit for a house whilst their children/grandchildren are in, say, their 20's and early 30's. 

Buying a Tunbridge Wells property is much cheaper than renting – I have shown it many times in these articles. 

It’s not a case of not being able to afford the mortgage; the problem is raising the mortgage deposit (of 5% to 10%) for these Tunbridge Wells Millennials.

Maybe families should be discussing the distribution of family wealth whilst everyone is alive (in the form of helping the family with house deposits) as opposed to waiting until the end, as it will make a massive difference to everyone in the short and long run. 

And a final thought, your legacy will have a more significant impact, and you will be here to see it with your own eyes.

A win-win for everyone.


Friday 15 July 2022

​Royal Tunbridge Wells Starter Homes are 43.8% Cheaper Today Than in 1989




Even though the average value of a Tunbridge Wells first-time buyer property has risen by

331.8% since 1989 to £448,070, the monthly payments Tunbridge Wells first-time buyers

must make on their mortgages as a proportion of their take-home pay is 43.8% less today

compared to 1989.


Today, according to the Nationwide Building Society…


the average Tunbridge Wells first-time buyer only needs to pay out

41.6% of their household take-home pay on their mortgage

payments, compared to 74.1% in 1989 (i.e., just over two fifths less).


You might say 1989 was 33 years ago, a long time ago and not relevant to today. I would

agree.


So next, I looked a little closer to home, and in 2007…


the average Tunbridge Wells first-time buyer had to spend 49.5% of

their household income on mortgage payments (i.e., 15.8%

proportionally cheaper than today).


So why do I say all these things?


Last month, the Bank of England revealed that its Financial Policy Committee would be

removing their mortgage market affordability test on people taking out mortgages in

August.


The test was introduced in 2014 to ensure the UK didn’t have a repeat of the 2008 Credit

Crunch and particularly hit first-time buyers with what they could afford to buy. This rule change means Tunbridge Wells property buyers could soon be able to borrow thousands of pounds more and purchase larger homes.


The decision to withdraw the affordability test certainly raised eyebrows in the press,

primarily as the Bank of England has raised interest rates five times in the last six months to

try and reduce rising inflation. Yet, as stated in the first part of this article, Tunbridge Wells first-time buyers are comfortably paying their mortgages compared to previous years –

therefore everything should be ok with this rule change.


The old rules tested home buyers on mortgage repayments if interest rates rose to 6%/7%,

yet the Bank thought that rule was too harsh. Not all rules have been changed, as the important Bank of England ‘loan to income ratio’ stays put.


The Bank were keen to stress that the mortgage market was not going to turn into a free-

for-all, as it did in the mid-2000s when the likes of Northern Rock were offering 125%

mortgages, and a sixth of all UK mortgages were given without proof of income.


I believe it will have a progressive effect on the Tunbridge Wells property market.


Many Tunbridge Wells tenants who have been paying rents far more than actual mortgage payments for the same Tunbridge Wells home, but have failed affordability assessments regardless, will now be able to get on the property ladder.


The rule change should open the Tunbridge Wells property market up a little more and

allow house prices to grow in Tunbridge Wells.


I advise anyone who has been refused a mortgage on affordability in the past to speak to a

mortgage arranger. If you don't know of one, drop a message to me, and I will give you

details of mortgage arrangers you could talk to.