Friday, 2 October 2015

Crisis in the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market ..probably?

I don’t know about you, but if you watch Sky News every waking hour or read the newspapers, it always seems we as a Country, Europe or the World seem to lurch from one crisis to another. Another week, another crisis averted. It was only last summer the soothsayers were predicting the end of the world over the supposed house price bubble that many believed was developing in the South. Property prices were rising at 20%+ per annum in London, only for things to ease as the property market in the Capital showed a controlled slowdown and cooling in activity with price growth easing to a more realistic 8% to 9% per annum. Interestingly, there was no panic when some modest price drops were seen in some of London’s highest priced suburbs.

However, this month’s crisis is the buy to let boom and as George Osborne always likes to be topical, in the July emergency budget, he declared that he will start to scale back, from 2017, the tax relief that those high income tax rate landlords with a mortgage have benefited from. The Daily Mail ran headlines stating it was the end of the private landlord; predicting many landlords will give up on buy to let altogether and we will be inundated with rental properties up for sale as landlords feel squeezed from the market.

Even Mr Carney, the Governor of the Bank of England, recently cautioned that the buy to let property market could destabilise the whole UK property market. He was concerned landlords who bought with high loan to value mortgages could be spooked if there is a property crash, they would panic because of negative equity, sell cheaply, which would worsen house price falls.

End of the world then?   .. this week, yes probably, but next week .. that’s another story!  Before we all go and live like a hermit in the Scottish highlands, let me explain to you my perspective on the whole subject. As I mentioned a few weeks ago, two thirds of buy to let properties bought in the last eight years have been bought mortgage free – so they won’t be affected by the Chancellors’ tax changes.  Also, something I feel is often overlooked but very important, is the fact that landlords historically have only been able to normally borrow up to 75% of the value of the rental property.  In the last property crash of 2008, property values dropped by the not so insignificant figure of 17.93% in Royal Tunbridge Wells, but even then, when we had the credit crunch and the world’s banking sector was on the brink, no landlord would have been in negative equity in Royal Tunbridge Wells.

I believe we have a case of ‘bad news selling newspapers’ and I believe that buy to let, and the property market as a whole, will carry on relatively intact. It’s true reducing tax relief will hit landlords who pay the higher rate of income tax and this may slightly diminish buy to let as an investment vehicle, but I doubt people will sell. Many landlords have been lazy with their investments, buying with their heart, not their head. You would never dream of investing in the stock market without doing your homework and talking to people in the know. If you want to make money in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market as a buy to let landlord, it’s all about having the right property and as you grow, the right portfolio mix to offer a balanced investment that will give you both yield and capital growth.

The Royal Tunbridge Wells buy to let market still offers good investment opportunities to new and old alike. Those who have bought in the last twelve to eighteen months have reaped the benefit from buying in Royal Tunbridge Wells, because the town offered a combination of reasonable house prices with subsequently increasing rents.  Property values have risen by 13.18% in the last eighteen months in Royal Tunbridge Wells, whilst looking at rents, in Q2 2015, average rental values for new tenancies were 11% higher than Q2 2014, which is particularly interesting as they only rose by 4.5% between Q2 2013 and Q2 2014.

I cannot stress enough the importance of doing your homework. One source of information and advice is the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog where I have similar articles to this about the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market and what I consider to be the best buy to let deals around at anyone time in the City, irrespective of which agent it is on the market with. If you haven’t visited and you are interested in the local property market in Royal Tunbridge Wells .. you are missing out! .. 


Friday, 25 September 2015

Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Values 8.6% higher than year ago

Royal Tunbridge Wells property values rose by 0.3% last month, meaning they are 8.6% higher than 12 months ago. Overall, I expect future property price growth to remain firm, built on the foundations of an improving labour market, strengthening economy and very low mortgage rates. In fact, talking to a number of other agents in the city, mortgage arrangers and solicitors (all of whom have their direct finger on the pulse of the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market), the steady long term growth in Royal Tunbridge Wells property prices tied in by strong demand conditions so far this summer, alongside an underlying lack of supply and the continued low mortgage rate environment, means the slow but steady upward momentum of the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market is likely to continue in the second half of 2015.

However, there are a couple points I wish to highlight as all my blog readers will know, I like to give a balanced and honest opinion of what is happening in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market.  The two main points being low interest rates and a lack of supply of property.

Interest rates first - Mark Carney (Chief of the Bank of England) said in a speech a few weeks ago at Lincoln Cathedral, the Bank will be seriously considering raising interest rates around Christmas time. An upward movement in interest rates will temper demand and result in a marked slowdown in house price growth. Mr Carney said that only six out of ten people that had a mortgage (57% to exact) had a variable rate mortgage, compared with more than one in seven (73% to be exact) in the Summer of 2012. Now I am not a mortgage arranger and cannot give advice, but rates are only going on one direction, so whether you are a landlord or homeowner, this might be a time to consider fixing your mortgage rate?  Don’t say I didn’t warn you!

Tie this in with the stricter mortgage lending rules which were introduced in 2014, which affected people’s ability to have larger mortgages, this means homeowners will need to be realistic in their pricing if they want to sell. Reading other recent reports though, property owners have continued to pay off mortgages at a faster rate while mortgage rates have been low. Therefore, when mortgage rates rise, the affect on home movers sentiment which, given the shortage of supply, would result in a marked slowdown in the rate of house price growth.

Shortage of Supply – As I have mentioned in previous articles, the number of houses on the market in Royal Tunbridge Wells is at an all time low. One reason is the large number of buy to let landlords who have bought Royal Tunbridge Wells property over the past fifteen years. Unlike first time buyers who tend to move on after a few years, landlords tend to keep their properties long term, meaning there are less properties coming onto the market ... thus restricting supply and sales. In fact over the last four months, only 7,197 properties in the Kent County Council area have changed hands and sold, compared to 8,030 in the same time frame in 2014, a not so insignificant drop of 10.37%. 

If you are planning on investing in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market, or just want to know more, things to consider for a successful buy to let investment, one source of information is the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog

Saturday, 19 September 2015

My concerns about the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property market

I am genuinely concerned about the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market, but in a way that might surprise you.  Rightmove announced that average ‘asking prices’ fell slightly last month by 0.4% in the South East, leaving them 5.8% higher than a year ago.  Whilst it could be said that monthly change is very modest, in the same period a year ago, we saw a monthly fall of 0.6% in the South East, which is more the norm given the onset of  schools breaking up and everyone going on holiday.

Looking at all the data on the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market; putting aside the need for more houses to be built in the next decade to balance out the increase in population (helped in part by inward European migration) but not matched by a similar increase in housing being built; my research shows there is a widening gap between what property buyers want and what is available to buy. In a nutshell, many more buyers are looking for the smaller one and two bed properties (the typical semi detached and smaller terraced houses/apartments), whilst there is an oversupply of the four and five bed properties, which are the typical large detached properties available.

Demand for smaller properties comes from both first time buyers and the growing number of buy to let landlords, where it is more cost effective and efficient to buy smaller properties to let out compared to larger properties which tend to offer poorer returns.  Also, landlords with larger loans (on those larger more expensive properties) will also be hit harder with the changes in the way tax is paid on buy to let investments, which start in 2017.

If you recall, a few weeks ago I did some research on how different types of properties had performed in Royal Tunbridge Wells since the year 2000.  I revisited those calculations and it hit me how different types of properties had performed over the last 15 years.  In a nutshell, this mismatch of demand and supply isn’t a new phenomenon, it’s been happening under our noses for years!

In the last 15 years, the average terraced house in Royal Tunbridge Wells has risen in value from £122,243 to £330,928 whilst the detached house has risen in value from £307,777 to £809,383.  Nothing seems amiss until you look at the percentage growth.  The terraced has grown in value by 171% whilst the detached by only 163% meaning the gap between the inexpensive terrace’s and expensive detached properties has in percentage terms narrowed (this isn’t just a Royal Tunbridge Wells thing, it has happened all across the Country).

I am concerned because more houses need to be built, not only in Royal Tunbridge Wells, but in the South East and the UK as a whole.  In particular, there is specific need for more affordable starter homes for the growing demand from both tenants (and the landlords that will buy them) and first time buyers.  The Tories need to face up to the fact that unless they can get the builders, the planners (to release more building land), the banks (to finance it) and themselves together, to ensure long term plans can be made, and implemented, this issue will continue to worsen.

The country needs 200,000 houses a year to be built to keep up with demand, let alone reverse the imbalance between demand and supply.  Last year, only 141,040 properties were built, the year before 135,510 and 146,850 in the year before that.  This means only one thing for Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords.  Unless David Cameron starts to rip up huge swathes of the British countryside and build on acres and acres of green belt, demand will always exceed supply when it comes to property for the foreseeable future.

Therefore, investment in the local Royal Tunbridge Wells property market as a buy to let investment could be the best move to make as the stock market investments are possibly on the wane.  Everyone is different and trust me, there are many pitfalls in buy to let.  You must take lots of advice and seek out the best opinion.

Friday, 11 September 2015

Royal Tunbridge Wells – The 10 year Time Bomb on Home Ownership

Many people think the British obsession with owning your own home started with Thatcher in the early 1980’s, when she allowed council tenants to buy their council houses under the right to buy scheme. However, the growth actually started just after the Second World War. Looking at the country as a whole in 1951 30% of residential property was owner occupied then, every ten years that rose incrementally to 39% by 1961; 51% by 1971; 58% by 1981 and 68.07% by 2001 but after that, it dropped to 63.4% by 2011 and continues to drop today.

Young adults tend to start to think about settling down and moving out of the family home in their early-mid twenties.  After a couple of years, they will have a choice of either buying their first house (albeit with a mortgage) or decide to privately rent for the long term (because the Council House waiting list is measured in decades at the moment!). The ratio of people owning a house with a mortgage verses privately renting is an extremely important guide to what people are doing about their housing needs and what their attitude to renting vs buying is.  With that in mind, within the next ten years, I am predicting there will be more people renting privately in Royal Tunbridge Wells than own a property with a mortgage and that the British love affair of property ownership will fade as the decades roll on.

This is a really important change in the way we live, as I explained to a local Royal Tunbridge Wells landlord the other day, knowing when and where the demand of tenants is going to come from in the coming decade is just as important as knowing the supply side of the buy to let equation, in relation to the number of properties built in the town; Royal Tunbridge Wells property prices and Royal Tunbridge Wells rents.

In the Tunbridge Wells Borough Council area as a whole there are 7,412 households that are privately rented via a landlord or letting agency verses 16,264 households that are owned with a mortgage, so my prediction appears to be outrageous. However, when we look deeper (as the devil is always in the detail), 7,986 of those 16,264 households are 35 to 49 year olds and 5,055 are households of 50 to 64 year olds. I would expect all the 50+ years to be paying their mortgage off as they enter retirement as I would with some of the people in their mid/late 40’s. 

Meanwhile, at the other end, in the 25 to 34 age range (the age most people bought their first home in the 1970’s/80’s/90’s) only 2,100 of the 4,433 households occupied by those 25 to 34 year olds are owner occupiers with mortgages, because 2,333 households are privately rented. This means only 47.3% of 25 to 34 year olds have bought their house (with a mortgage). Twenty years ago, that would have a much higher percentage of homeowners (between 75% to 85%).

It can be seen that as the older generation pay their mortgages off as they start to get to retirement and the younger generation aren’t jumping on the property ladder like they were 20 or 30 years ago, the private rental sector will take up the slack as more and more people will want a roof over their head, but won’t buy one but rent one. With Local Authorities and Housing Associations not building houses anywhere near like the number of houses they were building in the 1950’s, 60’ and 70’s, the private landlord appears to have good demand for their rental properties for many decades to come.

This will create a polarisation in the housing market between those, mostly older, households who own outright and those, mostly younger, households who rent. Our housing market is very much turning into the European model. However, all is not lost, the younger generation will inherit their parents properties, which in turn will enable them to buy, albeit later in life.

If you are a landlord or thinking of become a landlord, and would like to read more articles like this and other information on the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market, then please visit the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog 

Saturday, 5 September 2015

George Osborne – The Royal Tunbridge Wells landlord’s friend?

Well the last few weeks has been rather hectic as Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords, some who use us to manage their properties and other landlords who just read our Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog, have been sending me emails or picking the phone up to me about the new rules on buy to let taxation announced in the recent budget. George Osborne confirmed in the recent summer budget that the tax relief given to landlords on mortgage interest payments, on their buy to let (BTL) properties, would be reduced over the coming years for higher rate income tax payers. The Chancellor said the tax relief that private buy to let landlords (who pay the higher rate of income tax) would change in 2017 from the current 45%/40% and would steadily reduce over the following four years to the existing 20% by 2020.


With 21.4% of residential property in the Tunbridge Wells area being privately rented (as there are 5,353 privately rented properties in the Local Authority area), these changes are potentially something that will not only affect most Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords, but also the tenants and the wider property market as a whole. The choice of rental properties could drop, especially at the top end of the market which could push up rents.

However, Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords could protect themselves by reassigning one or more rental properties into a company structure (e.g., a Limited Company, Partnership or Sole Trader) and by doing so, the total tax paid is greatly reduced, because a company only pays tax on the profit. Nonetheless, before everyone goes off setting up companies for their BTL portfolios, it must also be noted, if a sole trader firm is started, stamp duty needs to be paid, yet if the owner is in business with a partner, they could enjoy some stamp duty relief.  The biggest tax variation is Capital Gains Tax (CGT) where the tax bill will be much higher when you come to sell your portfolio. 

In essence, by going into business with your BTL properties, you will potentially have a modest stamp duty to pay when you start, but you will have a lot less monthly tax to pay, irrespective of the interest rate, but the CGT bill will be much higher when you come to sell ... as you can see, it is not a ‘get out of jail card’. Now it must be remembered, I am not a tax advisor, so you must take advice from a qualified person.

Those planning to purchase a BTL property will have to factor these new rules into their calculations, and this could affect the offers they are willing to make. However, I am not that concerned, as the scaremonger reports fail to see the fact that two out of three BTL properties that have been bought since 2007 have been purchased without the support of BTL mortgage. With those two thirds of landlords paying cash for the purchase of their rental properties, that means two thirds of landlords will be totally unaffected by the changes.

So what of the future? The British love their Bricks and Mortar, it’s an asset that they can touch and feel and has a 70 year track record of capital growth that has out stripped inflation. Buy to let will still be attractive to Royal Tunbridge Wells investors and let me explain why. If you invested £80,000 in Royal Tunbridge Wells property in September 1987, today it would be worth £314,836. If you had invested the same £80,000 in to the London Stock Market (the FTSE 100 to be exact), it would be only be worth £229,012 today, whilst Inflation would have taken the original £80,000 and pushed it up to £166,254.

It’s true some central London landlords relying solely on the tax breaks rather than high yields may be forced out of the market, but even those landlords could seek to recoup any losses by increasing rents. However, those landlords may leave the market and this could constrict the availability of rented houses even more than it is already, increasing rents and thus pushing yields even higher for landlords and BTL investors still in the market... thus attracting new landlords into the market because of those higher yields.

The reality is, there is too much demand and not enough supply of homes for people to live in in the town. Official figures show the population in Tunbridge Wells is rising by 1,101 persons per year (i.e., demand rising), but only 447 properties are being built each year (i.e., supply is low). This sets up the Royal Tunbridge Wells (and UK) property market to continue to create strong and steady returns, irrespective of any tax loophole being there (or not as the case maybe).

Friday, 28 August 2015

Royal Tunbridge Wells Landlord’s mortgages top £300 million!

The Brits can’t stop talking about property. The hot topic of discussion at the posh dinner parties of Langton Green, Speldhurst and Neville Park’s movers and shakers is the subject of the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property market, but in particular, buy to let. These people are buying up buy to let properties quicker than an ace Monopoly player .. or so it would seem if you read the Sunday papers. So is the buy to let market a sure fire way to make money?  Is it something everyone should be jumping into? Is it a sure fire way to make money? 

The answer is Yes and No to all those questions!

Firstly, the government gives tax breaks to landlords, as it allows the mortgage interest payments on a buy to let property to be tax deductible. Also, a landlord only has to flick through Rightmove or Zoopla, pick any property at random and agree a price. Then, find a modest deposit of 25% (often by remortgaging their own home) which for an average Royal Tunbridge Wells terraced house, would mean finding £82,732 for the deposit (as the average Royal Tunbridge Wells terraced house is currently worth £330,928) and borrow the rest with a low interest rate buy to let mortgage.  Finally, the landlord would rent out the property in a matter of hours for top dollar and live happily ever after, with the rent then covering the mortgage payments, with loads of money to spare and come retirement have a portfolio of property that would have quadrupled in value in fifteen years. Sounds wonderful – doesn’t it? Or does it???

Let us not forgot that the half of one per cent Bank of England base rate is artificially low. The international money markets can be fickle and if interest rates do rise quicker and higher than expected because of some unforeseen global economic situation, that monthly profit will soon turn into a loss as the mortgage will be more than the rent. Even though tenants are staying longer in their rental property, tenants still come and go and my guidance to landlords is they should allow for void periods, plus the maintenance costs of a rental property and of course, agents fees. .. all things that eat into that profit.

Interestingly, by my calculations, there are approximately 1,603 Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords owing in excess of £300 million in mortgages on those Royal Tunbridge Wells buy to let properties.  An impressive amount when you consider Royal Tunbridge Wells only has 0.150% of all the rental properties in the Country. It really does come down to a number of important factors going forward to ensure you are water tight for the future. A lot of my existing landlords are fixing their mortgage rates. One told me that the Metro Bank are currently offering a 5 year fixed BTL remortgage rate at 3.79% for 5 years (based on a 75% loan). I don’t give financial advice, so you must speak with a qualified mortgage advisor.. but that sounds very fair!

However, one thing I do know is that buy to let is a long term investment, it’s a ten, fifteen, twenty year plan and property prices will go down as well as up. You wouldn’t dream of investing in the stock market without advice, so why invest in the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market without advice? We give bespoke detailed advice to our landlords to enable them to spot trends in the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market before others, enabling them to buy better properties at better prices. For example, did you know that semis are selling for around 14% lower than 12 months ago in Royal Tunbridge Wells yet flats are selling for 30% more (with every other type in between). This means we can advise on which properties will go up in value better (or lose less if property prices drop), we can also advise which have lower voids and which properties have higher maintenance issues.  

Information on the local property market and ability to process it is the strongest asset we can give you. As Lois Horowitz, the famous author says, ”Not having the information you need when you need it leaves you wanting. Not knowing where to look for that information leaves you powerless. In a society where information is king, none of us can afford that”. One place to find information on the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market is the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog, where you will find many articles just like this. 


Friday, 21 August 2015

The ‘Liquorice Allsorts’ Royal Tunbridge Wells Property market

Despite the UK economy heading in the right direction with record low mortgage rates and unemployment  figures dropping,  the rate of property prices rising in Royal Tunbridge Wells have tempered since the start of the year. This slow but sure downward trend in the rate of growth has been in evidence since mid-2014.  Property value increases continue to outpace the growth in salaries, however the gap is closing, helped by a lift in salaries over the last 6 months.  Property values in the South East region as a whole are 9.1% higher than a year ago.  Compare this to the neighbouring regions of the East at 8.8% higher and South West at 3.6%, the majority of the country continue to see annual house price gains - the exception being Wales which recorded a slight  decline of -0.6%.

Even with the tempering in house price inflation, it does not necessarily change my outlook that property prices are likely to be firmer over the second half of 2015 amid heightening activity in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market.  As stated in a previous article, there is a current shortage of properties on the market, restricting supply, which in turn will provide stability and support to Royal Tunbridge Wells property prices. Therefore, I my overall opinion is that Royal Tunbridge Wells property prices will rise by 6% over 2015 and roughly the same in 2016.

Property investment is a long term business.  Buying the right sort of property is vital. I have recently been speaking with a number of Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords about the importance of a balanced portfolio, when buying and renting out property. The balance between buying properties that offer good monthly returns (high yields) but quite often offer poor capital growth (i.e. they don't increase in value that much over the years compared with the average) verses properties that do go up in value quicker but often offer a lower yield.  So, what type of properties have performed best over the last few years in Royal Tunbridge Wells, especially in terms of their capital growth?

When comparing  what the average price of detached, semi detached, terraced and flats were selling for back at the start of the Millennium to the present.  The results are quite remarkably different, almost like a bag of Liquorice Allsorts, as the different types of property have performed poles apart over the last 15 years:

  • ·         Detached Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £307,777 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Royal Tunbridge Wells for £809,383 a rise of 163%
  • ·         Semi -Detached Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £141,962 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Royal Tunbridge Wells for £386,900 a rise of 173%
  • ·         Terraced Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £122,243 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Royal Tunbridge Wells for £330,928 a rise of 171%
  • ·         Flats and Apartments in 2000 were selling on average for £81,265 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Royal Tunbridge Wells for £279,358 a rise of 244%


Moving forward, what should new and existing buy to let landlords do with this information?  Well, the questions I seem to be asked on an almost daily basis by landlords are:

·         “Should I sell my property in Royal Tunbridge Wells?”
·         “Is the time right to buy another buy to let property in Royal Tunbridge Wells and if not Royal Tunbridge Wells, where?”
·         “Are there any property bargains out there in Royal Tunbridge Wells to be had?”

Many other Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords, who are with both us and other  Royal Tunbridge Wells letting agents, like to pop in for a coffee,  pick up the phone or email us to  discuss the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market, how Royal Tunbridge Wells compares with its closest rivals (Maidstone, Tonbridge and Rochester), and hopefully answer the three questions above.  I don’t bite, I don’t do hard sell, I will just give you my honest and straight talking opinion and look forward to hearing from you.



Saturday, 15 August 2015

Are ‘would be’ Royal Tunbridge Wells homeowners warming to the idea of renting?

I was reading a report the other day produced by the Halifax, about the UK property market and why more and more of the younger generation seem to be renting rather than buying. I find it fascinating that over the last ten years, the British obsession of buying a house almost as soon as you left school, and the fact that if you rented you were seen as a second class citizen, has turned on its head to a point where the hopes and dreams to own a nice home will be replaced by the ambition simply to live in one.

In the latter half of the 20th Century, you left school, got a job, bought a small house and kept buying and selling property, constantly upgrading until eventually they carried you out in a box. However, the perceived shame and stigma of renting is no longer the case, as it seems that the British are now beginning to accept a lifetime of renting. This is a very important consideration for both Royal Tunbridge Wells homeowners and Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords as it will transform the way the Royal Tunbridge Wells property ladder looks in the future and I might ask whether or not it will exist at all for some people? The make up of households is one important factor, especially in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market. The normal stereotypical married couple, two kids and dog of the 1970’s and 80’s has changed. More and more we have the need for larger houses where two families come together after divorces (+ kids) and need a property to house everyone through to an increase in the number of one person households.

Looking at the data for Royal Tunbridge Wells, of the 7,412 private rental properties in the Royal Tunbridge Wells District Council area, 36.23% of those rented properties are one person households (2,686 properties). However, when we compare the number of one person Royal Tunbridge Wells households who have bought their own property with a mortgage (ie therefore they are still in work), of the 30,999 owner occupied households in the area, only 2,416 of those properties are a one person household (ie 7.79%). 

Compared to a decade ago, this explosion in demand for decent high quality rental properties that one person households require has not been met with an increase in supply of such properties.  More and more I believe Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords need to consider this change in the make up of Royal Tunbridge Wells households, as I believe this could be an opportunity. As an aside, another interesting stat that raised an eyebrow was that 9.48% of those 7,412 rental properties (1,132 properties) are lone parents households as well. Again, another possible opportunity that Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords might want to consider in their future investment plans.


It is true that the Governments introduction in 2013 of the Help to Buy scheme, where first time buyers only needed a 5% deposit, changed the perception of peoples’ ability to buy without having to save ten’s of thousands of pounds for a deposit. However, it might surprise you, 95% mortgages were re-introduced within six months of the Credit Crunch in late 2009, so again it comes down to people’s own perception. Many youngsters think they won’t get a mortgage, so don’t even bother trying.


Coming back to the deposit, it’s still a fact that once you start renting it becomes that much harder to save for a deposit, regardless of the size. Interestingly, 7 out of 8 renters polled by the Halifax (86% to be exact) refuse to sacrifice the quality of accommodation they currently live in to reduce the amount of rent they pay in order to save for a deposit.  This is the crux and the real reason why people aren’t buying but renting... and why demand for renting will continue to grow in the future (ie good news for landlords). Royal Tunbridge Wells tenants can upgrade the quality and size of the property they live in for a minimal rent increase. 

The average rent of a two bed property in Royal Tunbridge Wells is £1,132pm, a three bed is £378pm more at £1,510pm, whilst the average four bed rent is £2,148pm. If you had to make that jump when buying, the monthly mortgage payments would be stratospherically more than that!  

Without any social pressure and better quality rental properties compared to a decade ago, we will become a nation of renters within the next generation, as the UK is becoming more like Europe, where renting is ‘the norm’. Who is going to supply all these properties to rent? Landlords! Whether you are an existing landlord looking to grow your portfolio or looking to become a ‘first time landlord’, my thoughts are take advice from as many people as possible. However, as the majority of landlords buy their buy to let properties in the same town they live, you will need specific advice about Royal Tunbridge Wells itself. One place for such advice and opinion is the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog

Friday, 7 August 2015

Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market – House prices up 8.3%

The Land Registry have just released their latest set of figures for the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property market. It makes interesting reading, as average property values in Royal Tunbridge Wells rose by 0.4% in May. This leaves average property values 8.3% higher than 12 months ago, meaning the annual rate of growth in the town fell to its lowest level since May 2014. When we compare Royal Tunbridge Wells against the regional picture, South East property values rose by 0.9%, leaving them 9.1% higher than a year ago.

Obviously this is a far cry from the price rises we were experiencing in Royal Tunbridge Wells throughout 2014. At one point (November 2014 to be exact) property values were rising by 11% a year. All the same, even with the tempering of the Royal Tunbridge Wells property values in 2015, property values are still higher. This is good news for local homeowners who had been affected by the downturn after 2007 and still find themselves in negative equity.

However, the thing that concerns me is that the average number of properties changing hands (ie selling) has dropped substantially over the last 12 months in the town. In Mar 2014, 118 properties sold in Royal Tunbridge Wells but in March 2015, that figure dropped to 87.  I have been in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market for quite a while now and the one thing I have noticed over the last few years has been the subtle change in the traditional seasonality of the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market. It has been particularly noticeable this year in that the normal post Easter flood of properties coming onto the market was not seen. This has made an imbalance between supply and demand, with less houses coming onto the market there is simply not as much choice of properties to buy in Royal Tunbridge Wells and with the population of Royal Tunbridge Wells ever increasing, this will generally strengthen house price growth for the foreseeable future.

So what does all this mean for Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords or those considering dipping their toe into the buy to let market for the first time? For many people, buy to let looks a good investment, providing landlords with a decent income at a time of low interest rates and stock market unpredictability.

However, if you are thinking of investing in bricks and mortar in Royal Tunbridge Wells, it is important to do things correctly. As an investment to provide you with income, for those with enough savings to raise a big deposit, buy to let looks particularly good, especially compared to low savings rates and stock market yo-yo’s. I must also remind readers, landlords have two opportunities to make money from property, not only is there the rent (income), but with the property market bouncing back over the last few years, property value increases has spurred on more investors to buy property in the hope of its value continuing to rise.


Savvy landlords with decent deposits can fix their mortgages at just over 3% for five years, making many deals stack up. Nevertheless, low rates cannot stay low forever, because one day they must rise and you need to know your property can stand that test. I saw some Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords struggling in the mid noughties, when interest rates rose from 3.5% in July 2003 to 5.75% in July 2007. That might not sound a lot, but that was the difference of making a £100 a month profit in 2003 to having to make up a shortfall in the mortgage payments of £100 per month in 2007.

Its true many landlords were thrown a life raft when the base rate dropped to 0.5% in March 2009. Whilst interest rates have remained there since, mark my words, they will rise again in the future. However, even with the potential for costs to rise, demand for decent rental properties remains high as there are ever more tenants in the market, driving up demand and thus rents. The British love of bricks and mortar plus improving mortgage deals also add up to fuel the buoyant Royal Tunbridge Wells property market.

If you are planning on investing in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market, or just want to know more, things to consider for a successful buy to let investment, one source of information is the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog 



Saturday, 1 August 2015

Why are less Royal Tunbridge Wells people moving house?

During my school years, my parents seemed to move every other year (or it seemed that way). In reality, looking back at the house moves, we actually moved three times before I left home. However, whilst my parents kept the removal van people in business whilst I was at school, from research I have carried out it shows things have changed considerably in Royal Tunbridge Wells over the last few decades, and interestingly, the trend is getting worse ... for the removal van people at any rate!

In Royal Tunbridge Wells, there are 24,962 properties. However, after we remove the 3,725 council houses, 5,353 privately rented houses and 239 houses where the occupants live rent free, that leaves us with 15,645 owned properties (be that 100% outright, with a mortgage or shared ownership). This means 62.7% of the properties in Royal Tunbridge Wells are occupied by the owner (the national average is interestingly 64.2%) but the number of people who have sold and moved house in Royal Tunbridge Wells, over the last 12 months, has only been 1,453. This means on these figures, the homeowners of Royal Tunbridge Wells are only moving on average every 10.76 years.

These are the reasons. Firstly, the cost of moving house has risen over the last twenty years. Secondly, with many remortgaging their properties in the mid 2000’s before the price crash of 2008, there is a reluctance or inability in a small minority of homeowners to finance a home sale/purchase, due to lack of equity. These are both factors driving fewer moves by existing homeowners.

However, the big effect has been the change in house price inflation. Back in the 1970’s and 1980’s, house prices were doubling every 5 to 7 years. Even in Greater London, with its stratospheric property price increases over the last few years, it has taken 13 years (August 2002 to be exact) for property values to double to today’s levels.

This change to a relatively low inflation Royal Tunbridge Wells property market (i.e. Royal Tunbridge Wells property values not rising quickly) is significant because the long term consequences of sustained low house price growth is that it eats into mortgage debt more slowly than when property price inflation is higher. Royal Tunbridge Wells homeowners cannot rely on inflation to shrink their debt in real terms as much as they did in say the 1970’s and 1980’s
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So what does this all mean for Royal Tunbridge Wells buy to let landlords? Well for the same reasons existing Royal Tunbridge Wells homeowners aren’t moving, less ‘twenty something’s’ are buying their first home as well. Royal Tunbridge Wells youngsters may aspire to own their own home, but without the social pressure from their peers and parents to buy their first property as soon people reach their early 20’s, the memory of the 2008 housing crisis and the belief the hard times either aren't over or the worst is yet to come, current and would-be homeowners are warming to the idea of renting. I also believe UK society has changed, with the youngster’s wanting prosperity and happiness; but wanting it all now... instantly... today... without the sacrifice, work and patience that these things take. As a society, we expect things instantly, and if it doesn’t come easy, doesn’t come quick, some youngsters ask if it is really worth the effort to save for the deposit? Why go without holidays, the newest iPhone, socialising four times a week and the fancy satellite package for a couple of years, to save for that 5% deposit if there is no longer a social stigma in renting or pressure to buy as there was... say... a generation ago?

Even though, in real terms, property prices are 5% cheaper than they were ten years ago (when adjusted by inflation), 21.4% of Royal Tunbridge Wells properties are privately rented (nearly double it was twenty years ago). As a result, the demand for rental properties continues to grow from tenants, meaning those wishing to invest in the buy to let market, over the long term, might be on to a good thing? For advice and opinion on the Royal Tunbridge Wells Buy To let property market, one source of information is The Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog


Saturday, 25 July 2015

Affordability of housing in Royal Tunbridge Wells

Talking to an elderly relative recently, he reminded me that in his day, you could have bought a property for the same price of what a decent second hand car would sell for today and that his father was buying property for the same price as a decent 50 inch LCD TV!  Now of course, these are only headline prices and we have had wage growth and inflation.  Interestingly, since the Second World War, property values in Royal Tunbridge Wells doubled in 1961, 1971, 1975, 1980, 1988, 2000 and 2006.

Looking at more recent times, since the start of the Millennium, these increases in property values have generated large increases in equity for many homeowners but on the other side of the coin also making housing unaffordable for other people.  It might interest readers to note that most of Europe experienced sharp increases in property values in the early years of 2000’s, with only Spain beating  us (although we know what has happened to the Spanish property market over the last few years!).  In the 2000’s, the British situation was different in two regards.  First the property value boom started earlier and saw more sustained increases, second, the regional pattern was fairly uniform.

However, since 2010, the regional pattern has been completely different in the UK.  Compared with  2007 (the last property boom), average property values today in England and Wales are 1.2% higher, whilst in Greater London, they are 35.7% higher, whereas in Royal Tunbridge Wells they are 7.07% higher. The London property market has been like a different country.  Looking specifically at Royal Tunbridge Wells though, it has continued for first time buyers to get on the housing ladder.  The best measure of the affordability of housing is the ratio of Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Prices to Royal Tunbridge Wells Average Wages, (the higher the ratio, the less affordable properties are).  In 1997  the average value of a Royal Tunbridge Wells property was 4.62 times higher than the average annual wage in Royal Tunbridge Wells) ie 4.62 to 1, then in subsequent years

· 2000 6.48 to 1
· 2002 7.95 to 1
· 2003 8.75 to 1
· 2007 9.31 to 1
· 2009 8.60 to 1
· 2012 8.46 to 1
· Today 9.44 to 1

You  can see quite clearly, even though we had an improvement just after the 2007 property crash (i.e. the ratio dropped), in following subsequent years with Royal Tunbridge Wells house price’s rising but wages not keeping up with them,  the ratio started rise.  This has meant there has been a deterioration in affordability of property in Royal Tunbridge Wells over the last couple of years.  This is one of the (many) reasons why the younger generation is deciding more and more to rent instead of buy their own house.  The local Council sold off council houses in the Thatcher years and for many on low incomes or with little capital, owning a home has simply never been an option.

With fewer people able to save up the deposit required by mortgage lenders, more and more people are looking to rent, this has also resulted in a change in attitudes towards renting over the last decade.  This delay in moving up the property ladder has driven rents up in Royal Tunbridge Wells over the last few years, as more people are seeking properties to rent.  All these things have combined to make the demand for rental property in Royal Tunbridge Wells rise.  If you are an existing landlord or someone thinking of become a first time landlord looking for advice and opinion and what (or not to buy in Royal Tunbridge Wells), one source of information is the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog 




Saturday, 18 July 2015

Fewer people are moving house in Royal Tunbridge Wells

Well the dust has settled and the General Election seems a distant memory, we can get back to a more normal property market, or that is what the London based ‘Fleet Street’ journalists would lead  you to believe.  You see I have been talking to many fellow property professionals in Royal Tunbridge Wells (solicitors, conveyancers and one the best sources of info – the chap who puts all the estate agent and letting boards up in Royal Tunbridge Wells, and all of them, every last one of them told me they didn’t see any change over April in business, compared to any other month on the lead up to the Election itself.

 I am now of the opinion that maybe in the upmarket areas of Mayfair and Chelsea, the market went into spasm with the prospect of a Labour/SNP pact with their Mansion Tax for properties over £2,000,000, but in little old Royal Tunbridge Wells, there has only been nine properties sold above £2,000,000 mark in the last 5 years.   

In a nutshell, the General Election in Royal Tunbridge Wells didn’t really have any impact on people’s confidence to buy property.  As I write this article, of  582 properties that have come on to the market in Royal Tunbridge Wells  since the 2nd of April, 233 of them have a buyer and are sold subject to contract, that’s over two in five (40.03% to be precise).

I think that things are starting to change in the way people in Royal Tunbridge Wells (in fact the whole of the country as I talk to other agents around the UK) buy and sell property.  Back in the 1970’s, 80’s and 90’s, the norm was to buy a terraced house as soon as you left home and do it up.  Meanwhile, property prices had gone up, so you traded up to a 2 bed semi, then a 3 bed semi and repeated the process, until you found yourself in a large 4 bed detached house with a large mortgage. 

Looking into this a little deeper like I have said in previous articles Royal Tunbridge Wells people’s attitude to homeownership itself has changed over the last ten years.  The pressure for youngsters to buy when young has gone as renting, not buying, is considered the norm for 20 something’s. This isn’t just a Royal Tunbridge Wells thing, but, a national thing, as I have noticed that people buy property by trading up (or down) because they need to, not because ‘it’s what people do’.  This does means there are a lot less properties on the market compared to the last decade.


A by-product of less people moving is less people selling their property. My research shows there are a lot fewer properties each month selling in Royal Tunbridge Wells compared to the last decade.  For example, in February 2015, only 105 properties were sold in Royal Tunbridge Wells. Compare this to February 2002, and 120 properties sold and the same month in 2003, 111 properties.  I repeated the exercise on different sets of years, (comparing the same month to allow for seasonal variations) and the results were identical if not greater.  

So what does this all mean?  Demand for Royal Tunbridge Wells property isn’t flying away, but with fewer properties for sale, it means property prices are proving reasonably stable too. Stable, consistent and steady growth of property values in Royal Tunbridge Wells, year on year, without the massive peaks and troughs we saw in the late 1980’s and mid/late2000’s might just be the thing that the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market needs in the long term.

Saturday, 11 July 2015

Royal Tunbridge Wells Buy To let – Bedrooms?

Last week, a landlord from Royal Tunbridge Wells emailed me to ask, after reading the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog, if he should extend his terraced house making an extra bedroom in the loft. He had a builder friend who owed him a favour, and thought a good way would be get an ‘inexpensive’ extension.

Having more useable space is generally thought to be consistent with better quality accommodation and homeowners and tenants are prepared to pay for it. If you added a bedroom to a two bed terraced to make a three bed terraced, it will add 10% to the value of the property.  Turn a three bed terraced into a four bed terraced and 9% will be added to the value. Looking at semi detached properties, and turn a two into a three bed and 12% will be added to the value, whilst making a three bed semi into four bed will add 9% in value.

However, before you rush off to the planning department there are some important considerations, whether you are a homeowner or landlord.  What would be the cost of making that extra bedroom? The average value of a terraced house in Royal Tunbridge Wells is currently £407,298 whilst the average value of a semi detached house is £782,800 meaning to make money the cost of the extension would need to be less than £38,693 on the terraced property and £82,194 on the semi detached house. Talking to a number of trades people in the town, most are booking up into the New Year. Also, no matter how good a friend he was, I know of no builders that would charge as little as that. Maybe the builder was just thinking of a bit of pointing work on the chimney!

Well, that got me thinking about how bedrooms affected rental prices and rent-ability as well.   Interestingly below, you will see that whilst bedrooms do have an effect on the rent that can be achieved and the rent-ability of the property – the difference does not warrant the expense, hassle and trouble of extending.

·         51.4% of the one bed properties on the market to rent in Royal Tunbridge Wells have a tenant with an average rent of £789 per month
·         45.5% of the two bed properties on the market to rent in Royal Tunbridge Wells have a tenant with an average rent of £1,141 per month
·         49.1% of the three bed properties on the market to rent in Royal Tunbridge Wells have a tenant with an average rent of £1,485 per month
·         35.7% of the four bed properties on the market to rent in Royal Tunbridge Wells have a tenant with an average rent of £2,250 per month

No, if you want to increase the value of your property, be you a Royal Tunbridge Wells landlord or homeowner, there are things that cost a lot less than building extra bedrooms. Spruce up the exterior, emulsion all the rooms, install fresh carpets and curtains. For homeowners, a matter of a few hundred pounds will add thousands whilst for landlords, these things can add an extra 10% to the rent that you can achieve. For more advice and opinion on the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market, visit the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog

Saturday, 4 July 2015

Royal Tunbridge Wells Buy To Let – Demand and Supply

Following on from my recent article about the state of the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market and in particular what had happened to the rents Royal Tunbridge Wells tenants have had to pay since the Credit Crunch, if you recall, I said rents in Royal Tunbridge Wells are 7.4% higher than they were in 2008. A Royal Tunbridge Wells landlord has since rung me after reading the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog, wanting to know more of the story of what was happening to current rents in the town. The reason he asked was that his current agent hadn’t increased his rent for a number of years and was concerned if he was getting the best return from his buy to let investment.

The Royal Tunbridge Wells rental market is all about supply and demand (isn’t it so in all parts of the economy?). On the supply side, 225 rental properties have come up for let in the last 31 days in Royal Tunbridge Wells. It sounds a lot until you consider there are 5353 rental properties in Royal Tunbridge Wells, that means only 4.2% of the rental stock of properties in Royal Tunbridge Wells are coming onto the market each month (it is normally around 5%). One reason for this lack of new rental properties coming on the market is the fact that tenants seem to be staying in properties longer.

With this lack of supply, newer tenants have to pay more to secure the property they want. And this is the crux of the matter ...properties they want. Older properties in Royal Tunbridge Wells, that haven’t been maintained, still retain their wood chip wallpaper from the 1970’s and thread bare carpets have seen their rents drop. Tenants want either modern properties with all the mod cons or older style properties that have been presented to an exceptional standard – and they are prepared to pay for the privilege. Rents for top quality properties in Royal Tunbridge Wells have risen by 0.5% in the last month. Any properties, old or modern, put on the market in good or excellent condition will rent in a matter of days.

Interestingly, looking at Royal Tunbridge Wells property values, the Land Registry have just released their latest set of data on property values. Throughout April 2015 (the latest set of data), property values rose in Royal Tunbridge Wells, with 0.4% growth, meaning they are now 8.9% higher than they were a year ago. When one looks at the regional picture, the South East average property values rose by 0.8% in the last month. The difference doesn’t concern me, as the regional and local property values always even themselves out over the months.

Looking forward, after considering all the statistics and talking to other property professionals, I expect property values in Royal Tunbridge Wells to rise by 3% to 5% over the coming 12 months, following the Conservative victory. In a forthcoming article, I will discuss how the number of properties changing hands each month has dropped considerably in the last 10 to 15 years in the town.

...And so back to our landlord. Each property is unique and so as his tenancy agreement allows him to inspect the property with notice to the tenant, we will be visiting the property next week. For more in depth thoughts and opinions like this on the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property market ...visit the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog

Saturday, 27 June 2015

Royal Tunbridge Wells Buy To Let – Should you look further afield?

I was at a recent business networking event in Royal Tunbridge Wells, when a landlord (who it transpired had a couple of Buy to let properties) bent my ear on where the next hot spot town or city is to invest his money in and where the best rental yields are. Now it can be tempting to just look at Royal Tunbridge Wells when growing a buy to let property portfolio, but there can be big differences in the amount of rental income you receive and how much your property will appreciate by considering other locations in the country.

Now regular readers of my articles of the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog know of my love of the ‘buy to let seesaw’. On one side of the seesaw is yield and the other capital growth. Landlords should be looking for a high rental yield so that they can comfortably cover any mortgage payments and make some profit from the income return, but you also want the property to rise in value over time so you can get some capital growth when you come to sell. However, high yielding property in say such areas as Ramslye in Royal Tunbridge Wells, (so the seesaw arm with yield on it goes up on one side), will suffer from low capital growth (so the other arm with capital growth on the seesaw goes down).  The relationship works in reverse as well, so in such upmarket areas as Culverden and Langton Green, properties offer good capital growth, but at the expense of a decent yield.  

The North East and North West of the UK are landlord magnets for great yields. The average yield in Royal Tunbridge Wells today is 4.49%, which when you compare with say Hartlepool in the North East, which achieves 7.73% or  9.43% in the Anfield area of Liverpool, doesn’t look too healthy. Now of course, these are only averages and some of my Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords are achieving 6% to 7% on some of their Royal Tunbridge Wells properties, but at the expense of capital growth. Anyway, after wasting a tank full of petrol up the A1 to Teeside or the M1 to Home of the ‘The Reds’,  that Liverpool property, would have dropped in value by 2.2% in the last 12 months and the Hartlepool property would have dropped by 1.4%.

When you compare the long term house price growth, it gets even worse. Since 1995, property values in Royal Tunbridge Wells have risen by 219.37%,compared with Hartlepool at 21.02% and Liverpool  at 90.11% – it just shows you shouldn’t always chase the yield because of the poor increases in property values in those two places. As I always like to explain to landlords, a decent yield is important, but when you come to sell your buy to let property it would also be nice to make a decent profit.

At the end of the day, as a Royal Tunbridge Wells landlord, you want to be making gains from both your rent and house price growth, particularly when you want to sell, because when combined, the rental yield and capital growth, that gives you the real return on your investment. Finally though, do you know Hartlepool and Liverpool as well you know Royal Tunbridge Wells? Do you know where the good and bad areas are in both those places? Are you happy that it would require you to take a day out of work if there was an issue with your property in the North?  If you can’ t answer yes to all three questions, then maybe you should be considering a closer to home?



Saturday, 20 June 2015

Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market – Post Election Blues?

With the election now over and the stability of Downing Street secure, with David Cameron and his Blue Tories as the largest party in Westminster, in Royal Tunbridge Wells (as in the rest of the UK) average wages are beginning to grow faster than inflation. This is good news for the Royal Tunbridge Wells housing market, as some buyers may be willing or able to pay higher prices given the more certain political outlook and attractive inexpensive mortgage rates. However, sellers who think they have the upper hand due to the lack of property for sale should be aware that we should start to see an increase in the number of people putting their properties on to the market in Royal Tunbridge Wells giving buyers some extra negotiating power.

At the last election in May 2010, there were 635 properties for sale in Royal Tunbridge Wells and by October 2010, this had risen to 867, an impressive rise of 26% in five months. An increase in the supply of properties coming on to the market could tip the balance in the demand and supply economics seesaw, thus potentially denting prices. However, as most sellers are buyers and confidence is high, this means there will be good levels of property and buyers, well into the summer, as demand will continue to slightly outstrip supply.

Just before we leave the run up to the election, it is important to consider what the uncertainty in April did to the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market. I mentioned a few weeks ago that property values (ie what properties were actually selling for) had dropped by 0.2% in March 2015. Now new data has been released from Rightmove about April’s asking prices of property in Royal Tunbridge Wells. It shows that pre-election nerves finally came home to roost in the final weeks of electioneering, with the average price of property coming to market only increasing by a very modest 1.1% (April is normally one of the best months of the year for house price growth).

I am sure our local MP, Greg Clark, would agree that the biggest issue is the lack of new properties being built in Royal Tunbridge Wells. The Conservative manifesto pledged to build 200,000 discounted starter homes for first-time buyers in the next five years. For Royal Tunbridge Wells to gets its share, that would mean only 79 such properties being built in Royal Tunbridge Wells each year for the next five years, not much when you consider there are 43,410 properties in Royal Tunbridge Wells.


Housing is not a big issue for Conservative voters and because London is an increasingly Labour city where the biggest housing issues are found by a country mile, so will it remain on the ‘to do list’ but won’t get recognition it deserves. Until another political party gets back into power, nothing will seismically change in the property market, thus demand for housing will continue to outstrip supply, meaning property values will increase (good news for landlords). However, as rents tend to go up and down with tenant wages, in the long term, rents are still only 7.4% higher than they were in 2008 (good news for tenants)... with renting everyone wins! 

Saturday, 13 June 2015

Property Values drop by 0.2% in Royal Tunbridge Wells

Property values in Royal Tunbridge Wells fell by 0.2% in March. This follows several months of sluggish activity in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market in the run up to the Election, putting the average price of a property in Royal Tunbridge Wells at £842,100, 9.1% higher than in March 2014. Despite the not so insignificant fall in March, the figures showed property values in Royal Tunbridge Wells were still higher in the first quarter of 2015 than in the last quarter of 2014.

Interestingly, the Council of Mortgage Lenders and Estate Agent trade bodies over the last few months have reported seeing a fall in mortgage lending and enquiries from prospective homebuyers. This is important because it comes amid an overall fall in housing market activity in Royal Tunbridge Wells. Data from the Land Registry said completed house sales in Royal Tunbridge Wells in the three months to January 2015, (the most up-to-date figures available) fell by 6.78% compared to the same three month period up to January 2014.

However, I believe that the slowdown in property sales in Royal Tunbridge Wells is supporting Royal Tunbridge Wells property values, as there is a shortage of houses coming onto the market. Even though in the whole of the first Quarter of 2015, Royal Tunbridge Wells property value increases may seem subdued when compared to 2014, let us remember, property values are still rising well above the level of inflation. 

As I have said many times before, the population in Royal Tunbridge Wells is growing at a much higher rate than the number of properties being built. This increasing demand for a roof over people’s head, which is outpacing the supply of new houses being built in Royal Tunbridge Wells, is creating a severe imbalance in the Royal Tunbridge Wells (in fact the whole of UK’s) housing market, thus making homeownership an ever increasingly distant dream for many of Royal Tunbridge Wells’s potential first time buyers.

In fact, I still maintain the view that house prices are likely to rise by around 3 to 5% in Royal Tunbridge Wells in 2015, even after taking into account this blip at start of the year. The reason being is that the rise reflects both strong economic conditions and steady market conditions with (and this is the most important factor) very low numbers of properties on the market. 

Many Buy to Let landlords know that investing in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market is a long-term strategy of 10, 20 even 30 years. Governments come and go, but unless Royal Tunbridge Wells Borough Council start to build hundreds of new properties a year to make up for the shocking lack of supply, Royal Tunbridge Wells people will always want a roof over their head, and irrespective of which party is in power, if there aren’t any council houses and they can’t (or are unable to buy), a demand for rental properties will always remain.

As my existing Royal Tunbridge Wells landlord clients will testify, whether you manage your property yourself, or another Royal Tunbridge Wells agent manages your properties, everyone is always made to feel welcome when they pop in for a coffee at our offices in Royal Tunbridge Wells to discuss anything to do with the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market, how Royal Tunbridge Wells compares with its closest rival towns. I don’t bite, I don’t do hard sell, I will just give you my honest and straight talking opinion. However, if you are too busy to pop into town, you could always visit the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog (insert url here) for advice, intelligent commentary and analysis of the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property market.


Saturday, 6 June 2015

What does the General Election result mean for the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market?

After the shock of the Conservatives returning to power with a majority at Westminster, all the potential issues and possible uncertainties of a hung parliament has lifted the cloud from the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market.  Talking to other Royal Tunbridge Wells agents, surveyors and solicitors in the area over the last few days, there are signs this has started a new impetus in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market after a subdued six months, when an amalgamation of tougher lending conditions, a natural correction after the strong recovery in Royal Tunbridge Wells property prices in 2014, and political uncertainty ahead of the General Election slowed demand.

Against the back drop of Labour’s election promises of rent controls and three year tenancies, some Royal Tunbridge Wells buy to let landlords were waiting to see how these new policies would be implemented before they committed themselves to buying more property for their  buy to let portfolio. Now that uncertainty has been removed, the long term picture is very positive.

So, with all that uncertainty now removed, where next for the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market?  Well with inflation at zero and with the Money markets happy David Cameron is still at No.10, the Bank of England have no reason to raise interest rates until 2016 at the earliest. As mortgage rates are at their lowest levels since 2010, landlords with large deposits will now be wooed by the mortgage companies in the coming months with low rates.

You see over the past couple of years, Royal Tunbridge Wells landlords have benefitted from a booming Royal Tunbridge Wells job market. Unemployment in the Royal Tunbridge Wells has dropped to 0.9%, as a year ago, 614 people were claiming unemployment benefit compared to today’s 499. With more jobs and better pay, as the level of rents is directly linked to tenant’s wages, there has been an increase in the rental prices tenants are willing to pay for good quality Royal Tunbridge Wells properties.

Some landlords might be nervous about Tory’s plans for the housing market in the next five years in terms of tenant demand for their rental properties. One plan is for Housing Association tenants to have the right to buy their property. These kind of tenants were never in the private rented sector and will actually increase the supply of properties in the housing stock in decades to come. The Government ‘Help to Buy Scheme’ has only helped to buy eighteen Royal Tunbridge Wells properties since April 2013. Considering 1,358 properties have changed hands in the last year alone in Royal Tunbridge Wells, I don’t think it has made a huge difference to our local property market.

The biggest matter, when it comes to tenant demand of rental property going forward, comes from the shift in the mindset and attitudes towards renting itself. Twenty years ago you were seen as a second class citizen if you rented a property. 

In Royal Tunbridge Wells, as in the rest of the UK (apart from Central London), renting continues to offer good value for money for tenants.  If you are an existing landlord in Royal Tunbridge Wells or thinking of becoming one (or as we like to call you .. a FTL .. a ‘first time landlord’), then I must suggest you seek out specialist advice and opinion. Like many agents in Royal Tunbridge Wells, we will happily give you our opinion on the current state of the  market and the advantages/disadvantages to investing in the Royal Tunbridge Wells property market if you pop into our offices. However, if time is at a premium, another source of information on the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Market is the Royal Tunbridge Wells Property Blog www.royaltunbridgewellsproperty.blogspot.co.uk