Prices up,
prices down, prices stable .. the newspapers are full of good news, bad news
and indifferent news about the Brit’s favourite subject after the weather ..
the property market. The thing is the UK does not have one housing market. Instead,
it is a patchwork of mini property markets all performing in a different way. At one end of scale is London, which has seen
average prices grow in the last twelve months by a shade under 19% (and again
that is an average because some Borough’s
in London have risen by 26%) whilst in the land of Daffodils , by
contrast, Wales only saw a 2% increase in property values (although in the
Merthyr Valleys they dropped by over 11%).
Well we
can’t ignore the rest of the UK, and we can’t forget that the Chancellor’s Stamp
Duty reforms have polarised the London property markets above £1,000,000
because at the top end of the market, punitive Stamp Duty charges will dampen
demand further. While the Bank of England warned of the growing London property
price bubble in the Spring of 2014, even talk of a recovery in some areas was
premature. In 2015, irrespective of where you are in the UK, one story will
unite the patchwork quilt of markets – really slow property value growth.
But what
about Royal Tunbridge Wells? Well, we haven’t had the December figures from the
Land Registry yet but the last few months’ activity and prices achieved would
suggest neither house price growth nor drops.
In fact, most sellers are buyers anyway, so if you need to take less for
yours, you won’t have to pay as much for the one you want to buy ... and that
is good news for everyone as most move up market when they move. This is even
better for landlord investors, as they can bag a bargain as well.
The question
you should be asking though is not only is what happening to property prices,
but which price band exactly is selling? I like to keep an eye on the property
market in Royal Tunbridge Wells on a daily basis because it enables me to give
the best advice and opinion on what (or not ) to buy in Royal Tunbridge Wells.
If you look
at Royal Tunbridge Wells and split the property market into four equalled sized
(into terms of households) price bands. Each price band would have around 25%
of the property in Royal Tunbridge Wells, from the lowest in value (the bottom
25% ) all the way through to the highest 25% (in terms of value). Over the last two months (63 days to be
precise),....
- In the lowest quartile, (those with asking prices under £227k) 96 properties have come onto the market in Royal Tunbridge Wells and 48.9% of them (47 properties have a buyer and sold stc.
- The next quartile, between £227k to £300k, of the 101 properties that come on to the market, 35.6% of them (36 properties) have a buyer.
- The £300k - £525k price range has seen 119 properties come on to the market, and 26.8% of the properties have a buyer (32 properties).
- The most expensive 25%, the £525k plus range, has seen 34 of the 84 properties that came on to the market find buyers (40.4%).
Fascinating don’t you think?
The next three months’ activity will be
crucial in understanding which way the market will go this year and I
honestly believe we will not see any house price growth or drops this side of
the election. Election or no election, people will always need a roof over
their head and that is why the property market has rode the storms of Oil
crisis in the 1970’s, the 1980’s depression, Black Monday in the 1990’s, and latterly
the Credit Crunch together with the various house price crashes of 1973, 1987
and 2008.
And why?
Because of Britain’s chronic lack of housing will prop up house prices and
prevent a post spike crash. ... there is always a silver lining when it comes
to the property market!